5 Dividends That Will Soar When the Fed Cuts Rates

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 5, 2024

Let’s talk about five dividends that are set to soar when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.

Not that these stocks need help. They are already in multi-year bull runs because they have the power of the “dividend magnet” on their side. This is a situation where dividend growth pulls a stock’s price higher and higher.

Let’s take coffee giant Starbucks (SBUX) as an example. Starbucks has beaten the S&P 500 by more than 300 percentage points since 2010. That’s also the year in which SBUX started paying dividends.

But it’s not just that Starbucks has clobbered the broader market. It’s the way in which the stock price and dividends have largely moved in tandem, with one seemingly pulling the other higher over time.… Read more

The Bond Market Is Booming (and these 9% Dividends Are the Best Play)

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: April 4, 2024

It’s no secret that corporate bonds are booming. But what might come as a surprise to some folks is that we’re not too late to get in. Through a group of well-run closed-end funds (CEFs), we can still tap big corporate-bond yields at a discount.

Even perennially gloomy Business Insider (notorious for its overdone calls for an inflation/recession-driven crash in 2022) acknowledges the terrific environment for bonds right now. Recently, BI had to admit not only that “Corporate bonds are the safest they’ve been in years,” but that this is one of the best bond markets we’ve ever seen.… Read more

Any Bitcoin Stocks Pay Dividends? Yeah, Here’s a Back Door

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 3, 2024

Riddle me this, my fellow contrarian.

If the Federal Reserve is really tightening its balance sheet, then why is the stock market already up 10% on the year?

Why is gold at all-time highs?

And why is bitcoin going completely bonkers?

The answer is “quiet QE.”

As we discussed last summer in this column, Fed Chair Jay Powell’s words have sounded hawkish. He and his cronies talked tough about inflation. But look at their actions: the Fed has quietly provided ample liquidity to the financial markets.

Which is why dollar hedges like gold and bitcoin have soared.… Read more

Will This REIT Portfolio – up to 9.3% – Finally Get Off the Ground?

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 2, 2024

We income investors like REITs (real estate investment trusts) because they are obligated to dish most of their profits to us as dividends. Today we’ll discuss five with fat yields between 8.3% and 9.3%.

When to buy REITs can be tricky. Generally speaking, we don’t want to buy them before rate hikes. Higher rates make money more expensive. REITs thrive on cheap money. So, the recent rate hiking cycle has been bad for REITs-at-large.

Rates and REITs Moved in Opposite Directions

Rate hikes appear done, which usually means it is time to buy REITs. After all, the Fed’s next move is likely to be a cut.… Read more

My Advice: Park These 9%+ Paying “Convertibles” in Your Portfolio Now

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: April 1, 2024

Let’s talk about convertibles for a second—but not the car with a removable top that everyone thinks of when they hear that word: I’m talking about convertible bonds.

I know, a bit less flashy, right? The name causes most folks’ eyes to glaze over, but there is a (very) exciting part to this convertible-bond story: massive dividend yields. And I’m not talking the type of so-called “high” yields you get on regular stocks (3% or 4%). Or even corporate bonds, many of which pay out in the 6% to 7% range these days.

I’m talking really high yields here. Like 12% yields.Read more

Why the Coming “Yield Crash” Will Send These 8%+ Payers Soaring

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: March 29, 2024

This market bounce is strangling the payouts on everybody’s favorite ETFs. But it’s also given us a sweet setup to grab another group of funds kicking out big payouts, to the tune of 8%+ yields.

Even better, many of these funds—wallflowers to “popular-kid” ETFs—were left off the invite list for the 2023 market party. That means they’re (still) cheap today.

I know an 8% payout has a lot of appeal to most folks, with Treasury yields now yielding around 4.3%. That’s not bad, but it doesn’t leave you much after you account for still-elevated inflation.

And if your cash is stuck in an ETF, you’re getting a lame payout, well, almost all the time, but especially if you buy now: the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)—which, as the name says, holds the entire S&P 500 index—yields a sorry 1.3% as I write this.… Read more

A 13.8% Dividend Backed By the Fed

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: March 28, 2024

I know that no one wants to talk about the 2020/2021 lockdowns anymore. But those dark days did do one critical thing for the high-yield corporate-bond market: made these so-called “junk bonds” too big to fail.

And investors are just starting to come around to that fact.

The takeaway is that we’ve got a nice opportunity to grab historically large, and stable, dividends from corporate-bond funds, including a closed-end fund (CEF) we’re going to focus on in this article: the PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund (PDI).

Long-time readers of my articles here on Contrarian Outlook, as well as my CEF Insider advisory, will recognize PDI.… Read more

2 Safe “Retirement-Maker” Dividends Up to 8.6% Paid Monthly

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: March 27, 2024

Would you believe, my fellow contrarian, that most of our vanilla income friends settle for utility dividends that pay quarterly?

Ha!

Unfortunately (for them) that’s no typo. There are millions of investors just like them who are OK being paid every 90 days.

Yes, ninety!

Obviously, they don’t read highbrow publications like Contrarian Outlook, where we highlight monthly dividend payers. Today we’ll discuss two that pay 8.3% and 8.6% respectively.

With yields like these, we can actually retire on dividends. Take a chunk of money that we’ve saved up and convert it into regular cash flow. A million dollars, for example, can become $83,000 or $86,000 annually in dividend income.… Read more

2 “Sleeper” 7.5%+ Yielding Funds Set to Soar as Powell Cuts Rates

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: March 26, 2024

Here’s a wild prediction for the rest of 2024: “sleepy” (but very high yielding) emerging-market bonds will clobber today’s high-flying AI stocks.

Sounds ridiculous, right?

Well, it’s one of those seemingly weird calls that’s absolutely on the table after the first Fed rate cut drops—a date that, if futures traders are right, will arrive as soon as June:

Interest Rates Are About to Pull a 180

Source: CME Group

Here’s where emerging-market bonds come in: When rates drop, the US dollar gets banged up—it always does. That will light a fire under EM bonds.

And given that the dollar has been en fuego for the past decade, the greenback’s drop could very well be swift.… Read more

Think Your Income Fund’s Dividend Is Dicey? Here’s How to Tell (Instantly)

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: March 25, 2024

If you watch cable TV or visit financial websites, you no doubt hear about “overpriced” stocks and funds all the time.

A pundit will jump on TV and say something like “Tech is overvalued.” So, by extension, a tech ETF like the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) is overpriced, right?

Not so—at least in a technical sense. An ETF like XLK can be overpriced, but ETFs rarely are.

A fund like XLK collects money from investors and socks it away in stocks. In XLK’s case, we’re talking about big-name techs like Microsoft (MSFT), NVIDIA (NVDA) and Apple (AAPL). But with ETFs, the price you pay tends to be close to how much it would cost to buy all of those stocks separately.… Read more