You may have noticed that lately, the media is pumping out more stories on how the US economy and stock markets are leading the world.

Well, it’s true. Today we’re going to get into a few reasons why that is. We’re also going to look at how us income investors can use a special kind of income play, closed-end funds (CEFs)—many of which yield north of 9%—to cash in on America’s runaway lead, boosting our dividends and setting ourselves up for 10% annualized returns, basically forever.

We’ll wrap with a real “nuts-and-bolts” view of the factors that go into the ongoing rise in US stocks—uncovering fundamentals that few investors stop to learn (but can help us immensely, especially when a 2022-style pullback tests our nerve).… Read more

We need to talk about tech stocks. Because, yes, there is a risk of a pullback here. But there’s also a way for us to minimize that risk—and grab 8%+ dividends, plus price upside, as we do so.

First off, let me be clear that when I say “tech stocks,” I’m using the NASDAQ 100 as my benchmark. The index is about 60% tech, compared to about a third for the S&P 500. That higher level of tech exposure has allowed the NASDAQ to handily beat the S&P 500 over the long run (see the purple line below, showing the benchmark NASDAQ index fund).… Read more

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) is an intriguing everything-proof stock for Trump 2.0. The company specializes in cutting-edge surgical devices and regardless of what the Fed or President-Elect Trump does in 2025, we know that Americans will continue to have surgeries.

Human surgeons are expensive and prone to mistakes, so the big trend in the surgery room is towards robotics. Intuitive created the da Vinci system, the most widely used surgical robot in the world.

Business is booming. The company anticipates 12% to 16% year-over-year demand growth for da Vinci. Its technology is less invasive and more precise than humans, which leads to faster recovery times for patients.… Read more

If you were taking a break from your family on Christmas Day, you may have caught my article on how Jay Powell’s recent “hawkish cut” is set to light a fire under high-yielding (and tax-free!) municipal bonds.

Here’s why: Jay cut rates by a quarter point in December, but gave investors a stern pre-holiday “talking-to,” with the Fed slashing its rate-cut forecast to two from four in 2025.

Stocks, as you’d expect, threw a one-day fit. But here’s the thing: The yield on the 10-year Treasury note (the so-called “long end” of the yield curve, which has a mind of its own) spiked.… Read more

2025 is here and we’ve got a terrific opportunity in front of us: A shot at a very comfortable retirement with around $1.1 million saved. Heck, not only comfortable, but possible without withdrawing a single penny from our savings.

And depending on your circumstances, you may be able to clock out on a lot less.

I know that goes against the narrative that’s been driven into our heads for pretty much our entire lives as investors: That we need to work well into our sixties (and maybe beyond) before breaking free of our commitment to work. But from time to time, we do hear about a few people who prove this isn’t necessary for everyone.… Read more

The Dogs of the Dow 2025 pay big dividends—up to 6.8%! Collectively they yield three-times what the broader market pays. We’ll discuss individual Dogs—and their divvies—in a moment. First, the simple three-step strategy:

• Step 1: After the final trading day of the year, identify the 10 highest-yielding stocks in the Dow.
• Step 2: Buy all 10 stocks in equal amounts and hold them for a year.
• Step 3: At the end of the year, sell, then rinse and repeat.

Why has this strategy worked in the past? Dividends are an indicator of value.

Especially for big blue-chips like Dow stocks.… Read more

For a long time now, it seems like the stock market has had a “theme of the year.” Clearly in 2024 it was AI, while 2023 was the year of recovery from 2022, which was a year of panic over a recession that never came.

This is odd, as past trends have lasted several years. From 2012 to 2014, for example, it was momentum driven by the Fed’s quantitative easing after the financial crisis. And the dot-com-bubble years spanned more or less from 1994 to 2000.

So will 2025 be another “theme year,” or will we see markets shift back to embracing longer-term trends?… Read more

Let’s make this the year we run our income portfolios like a business. And project every dividend payment we are going to collect—easily and accurately.

We built a killer app here at Contrarian Outlook for this very purpose. It’s called Income Calendar and we continue to improve the tool each and every month based on feedback from dividend investors like you.

Since our goal is to retire on dividends, it is important to know exactly how much passive payout income we have coming in for 2025. This is where Income Calendar comes in. I can load a portfolio of 22 stocks and the tool will actually tell us our projected 12-month income down to the penny:

Income Calendar Projects Dividends Down to the Penny

The portfolio above reflects our current Contrarian Income Report lineup of 22 big payers.… Read more

2024 is hours from heading out the door, and here’s the state of play:

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for a third consecutive meeting on December 18. Yet the yield on the 10-year Treasury is now higher than when the easing cycle began.

Wait. What?

The bond market has been screaming at Jay Powell that the job on inflation is not done. It makes sense: The economy is fine. There are plenty of jobs. The market is not hurting for liquidity.

Finally, Jay is catching on. And here’s the twist: The hawkish guidance he gave on rates at that December 18 meeting—including the Fed’s expectation of two rate cuts next year instead of four—could actually set the stage for a top in the 10-year Treasury yield.… Read more

Need more dividend yield in 2025? Consider real estate investment trusts (REITs), which were literally mandated to be dividend-paying machines. Income is the point—by law.

Select REITs even yield 10% or more. What a payout! We’ll discuss seven of them—and their prospects for 2025—in a moment.

Now we can’t just blindly pick any ol’ a REIT. The real estate sector—using the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) as a proxy—only pays 3% right now.

But the average yield among this REIT 7-pack is 12.4%. That’s 4x what the sector pays!

That level of income would easily allow us to retire on dividends alone.… Read more