Author Archive: Brett Owens

Chief Investment Strategist

Backdoor Tech Dividend Bargain Yields 14.3%, Trades at Big Discount

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: January 8, 2025

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) is an intriguing everything-proof stock for Trump 2.0. The company specializes in cutting-edge surgical devices and regardless of what the Fed or President-Elect Trump does in 2025, we know that Americans will continue to have surgeries.

Human surgeons are expensive and prone to mistakes, so the big trend in the surgery room is towards robotics. Intuitive created the da Vinci system, the most widely used surgical robot in the world.

Business is booming. The company anticipates 12% to 16% year-over-year demand growth for da Vinci. Its technology is less invasive and more precise than humans, which leads to faster recovery times for patients.… Read more

Jay Powell’s “Adulting” Could Send This 7.8% Tax-Free Dividend Soaring

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: January 7, 2025

If you were taking a break from your family on Christmas Day, you may have caught my article on how Jay Powell’s recent “hawkish cut” is set to light a fire under high-yielding (and tax-free!) municipal bonds.

Here’s why: Jay cut rates by a quarter point in December, but gave investors a stern pre-holiday “talking-to,” with the Fed slashing its rate-cut forecast to two from four in 2025.

Stocks, as you’d expect, threw a one-day fit. But here’s the thing: The yield on the 10-year Treasury note (the so-called “long end” of the yield curve, which has a mind of its own) spiked.… Read more

The 2025 Dogs of the Dow: 10 High-Yield Blue Chips

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: January 3, 2025

The Dogs of the Dow 2025 pay big dividends—up to 6.8%! Collectively they yield three-times what the broader market pays. We’ll discuss individual Dogs—and their divvies—in a moment. First, the simple three-step strategy:

  • Step 1: After the final trading day of the year, identify the 10 highest-yielding stocks in the Dow.
  • Step 2: Buy all 10 stocks in equal amounts and hold them for a year.
  • Step 3: At the end of the year, sell, then rinse and repeat.

Why has this strategy worked in the past? Dividends are an indicator of value.

Especially for big blue-chips like Dow stocks.… Read more

Our 2025 Income Resolution: Forecast Every Dividend Payment

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: January 1, 2025

Let’s make this the year we run our income portfolios like a business. And project every dividend payment we are going to collect—easily and accurately.

We built a killer app here at Contrarian Outlook for this very purpose. It’s called Income Calendar and we continue to improve the tool each and every month based on feedback from dividend investors like you.

Since our goal is to retire on dividends, it is important to know exactly how much passive payout income we have coming in for 2025. This is where Income Calendar comes in. I can load a portfolio of 22 stocks and the tool will actually tell us our projected 12-month income down to the penny:

Income Calendar Projects Dividends Down to the Penny
Income Calendar

The portfolio above reflects our current Contrarian Income Report lineup of 22 big payers.… Read more

This 14.4% Dividend Is a New Year’s “Gift” for Contrarians

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: December 31, 2024

2024 is hours from heading out the door, and here’s the state of play:

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for a third consecutive meeting on December 18. Yet the yield on the 10-year Treasury is now higher than when the easing cycle began.

Wait. What?

The bond market has been screaming at Jay Powell that the job on inflation is not done. It makes sense: The economy is fine. There are plenty of jobs. The market is not hurting for liquidity.

Finally, Jay is catching on. And here’s the twist: The hawkish guidance he gave on rates at that December 18 meeting—including the Fed’s expectation of two rate cuts next year instead of four—could actually set the stage for a top in the 10-year Treasury yield.… Read more

7 Wild REIT Yields (up to 15%!) for 2025

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: December 30, 2024

Need more dividend yield in 2025? Consider real estate investment trusts (REITs), which were literally mandated to be dividend-paying machines. Income is the point—by law.

Select REITs even yield 10% or more. What a payout! We’ll discuss seven of them—and their prospects for 2025—in a moment.

Now we can’t just blindly pick any ol’ a REIT. The real estate sector—using the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) as a proxy—only pays 3% right now.

But the average yield among this REIT 7-pack is 12.4%. That’s 4x what the sector pays!

That level of income would easily allow us to retire on dividends alone.… Read more

Our Christmas Gift: A 7.9% Tax-Free Dividend Plus 8% Discount

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: December 25, 2024

Merry Christmas, my fellow contrarian! Did Santa bring you a tax-advantaged dividend this morning?

The municipal bonds funding the Las Vegas Valley Nevada Water District would have made a great stocking stuffer. They yield 5% and get a tax hall pass from Uncle Sam. Which means on a tax equivalent basis they actually pay 6% or 7% or more, depending on your income tax bracket.

Vegas is booming. And the town is in the middle of a hot desert that is increasingly arid, so this muni is rock solid.

Five percent, tax free. Why’d you forget this, Santa?

Well fear not, my fellow “naughty lister.”… Read more

Trump 2.0 Is Nearly Here. These Are the 2 Dividends to Buy

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: December 24, 2024

I think it’s clear by now that Trump 2.0 is going to look different from Trump 1.0.

Some areas, like tariffs, look similar to the first time around (though we expect more of them in the second term). Others are totally different. (Hands up if you had a potential crackdown on processed food by an RFK Jr.-led HHS on your bingo card.)

“Big Food” to Take a Hit, Fertilizer Stocks a Smart Buy in Trump 2.0

Let’s start with food stocks, which, as mentioned, are now a target for RFK Jr., should he be confirmed as HHS secretary. To be sure, that’s bad news for General Mills (GIS), which dropped following the election and again when RFK Jr.’s… Read more

This 7-CEF Portfolio Yields 14.1%

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: December 20, 2024

The suits on Wall Street will say that $460K isn’t enough to retire on.

Well, that “modest” nest egg will earn $64,860 in dividends alone when invested in this simple 7-CEF portfolio.

CEFs are the code name for closed-end funds. They are a lesser-known cousin to exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds. CEFs tend to have modest assets under management. Which is their superpower. Fewer assets mean greater yields!

Consider the 7-CEF portfolio we are about to discuss versus the standard high-yield stock benchmark ETF:

There is no comparison! But before we buy blindly, let’s do our homework and make sure these CEFs are not paper payout tigers.… Read more

My “Made for 2025” Dividend Plan for 25%+ Returns

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: December 18, 2024

I’d like to share my simple “Made for 2025” Dividend Plan with you. It’s a simple, safe strategy that identifies dividend stocks with payouts set to surge higher.

As these divvies pop, so do their associated stock prices.

The truth is, this proven system works no matter what the economy, or the Fed (or even the executive branch of the federal government!) is doing. It’s the path to peppy price gains from protected payers.

Let’s talk about a timely example—a dividend dip to enjoy! On the campaign trail, President-Elect Trump presented us with a pullback in perennial dividend grower Deere & Co (DE) thanks to these comments:

“They’ve announced a few days ago that they are going to move a lot of their manufacturing business to Mexico.

Read more