Author Archive: Michael Foster

Millions of investors are making a critical mistake that could leave their finances vulnerable—and at the worst possible time, too.

That error? Clinging to so-called “rules of thumb” that sound useful, but are so broad as to be almost irrelevant—even dangerous, depending on your personal circumstances.

Consider the so-called “rule of 25,” which is as simple as it is deceptive. It simply states that, before we retire, we should have saved up 25 times the yearly amount we plan to spend in retirement.

That’s a lot! The chart below matches up how much a retiree plans to spend (setting aside inflation to make things a bit simpler) to see how much they’d need to save, going by this “rule.”… Read more

If you’re reading this, I probably don’t have to tell you that the stock market beats most (all?) other ways of building wealth.

It’s not even close!

Over time, the S&P 500 has generated around a 10% annualized return. But of course, that line does not go straight up and to the right. There have been long periods when stocks have moved sideways, and occasional years (I’m looking at you, 2022), when they’ve taken a header.

At those times, in particular, we’re all keenly aware of the S&P 500’s lame dividend yield (around 1% as I write this). It means that those who hold, say, an index fund and need cash face the soul-crushing prospect of selling at a low (or maybe even a loss).… Read more

Stocks are about to do something almost totally unheard of: chalk up three winning years in a row.

And no one is celebrating.

Instead, worry is everywhere: about an AI bubble. Sticky inflation. Or the Fed—everything from the bank’s next chair to its independence and the direction of rates.

This combo—a strong market tempered with a big dose of anxiety—has set up a rare setup in our favorite high-income plays: 8%+ yielding closed-end funds (CEFs). It comes in the form of a pattern I don’t see often, but when I do, it’s almost always a buying opportunity.

That pattern is the following: A drop in a CEF’s market price (driven by investor sentiment), while its underlying portfolio (driven by management’s talents) keeps on growing.… Read more

Every year, the stock market has a theme. And I’ve got a pretty good idea of what 2026’s will be.

Simply this: If you buy stocks in the new year, your return will be zilch—at best—for a decade. Maybe more.

Why do I say that? Because the market’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is high by historical standards.

Trouble is, most people are reading this popular indicator all wrong. That disconnect (and the fear it’s starting to cause, which could get worse in 2026) is setting up a nice short-term buying opportunity for us.

Valuation worries are being amplified by this chart from Apollo Global Management, which could easily become the poster child for fearful investors next year:

It comes from Apollo’s chief economist, Torsten Sløk, who notes that the estimated returns we should expect from the S&P 500 over the next decade are zero.… Read more

One thing I’ve always been astonished by is how fast a winning strategy (in investing and in life!) can suddenly slam into a wall—and start causing a lot of pain.

Consider, for example, the life of a mortgage banker in the 2000s: They made easy money for years, then the subprime-mortgage crisis threw them out of work overnight.

This happens in investing, too, which is why it’s always good to stay humble and well-diversified. Some high-yielding closed-end funds (CEFs), for example, look like big winners at any given moment. But if you buy without looking under the hood, you’re risking sharp losses.… Read more

Today we’re going to talk about a subject that might seem a little outside the dividend plays we normally discuss.

But as you’ll see, this topic—a big shift in how Americans feel—is the main reason why some of our favorite high-yielding closed-end funds (CEFs) are woefully underpriced, like one equity-focused 9%-yielder with an incredible track record.

Let’s start with that unlikely topic: Happiness. It matters because, as we’ll see, how happy Americans are ties directly into investing behavior in very predictable ways.

Source: CEF Insider

This chart shows the results of the General Social Survey, from the University of Chicago’s National Opinion Research Center.… Read more

The bankruptcy of auto-parts supplier First Brands has hit a corner of the market known for high dividends. Does that make these assets bargains?

Maybe. But we need to be careful here, and avoid making the mistake of “reaching for yield”: that is, buying yields that are high for a reason: the stock price has plunged.

But I’m getting ahead of myself. The corner of the market I’m talking about is business development companies (BDCs), which loan money to small- and mid-sized firms.

Investors first got worried about BDCs a couple months ago, when the First Brands story broke. The news raised alarm about the private-credit market (where BDCs operate).… Read more

When most people think about the soaring stock market, they’re really only thinking back to the end of 2022, when it feels like it all started.

I know. 2022. A year we’d all like to forget.

But looking back only that far ignores the fact that the S&P 500 is a long-term wealth generator—a really long-term wealth generator, in fact. Over the last century, it’s posted a 10.6% annualized return.

Over the last 10 years, it’s done even better, returning a robust 14.6%.

I bring this up because it’s easy to lose sight of that these days, with the news cycle constantly amping up the fear, most recently on worries about an AI bubble.… Read more

When it comes to our favorite income investments—8%+ yielding closed-end funds (CEFs)—there are a lot of misconceptions out there.

It’s critical that we put those right, because they’re causing some investors to miss out on CEFs, and the big (and often monthly) dividends they provide. And I know I don’t have to tell you that in turbulent times like these, high payouts like those are a lifesaver.

Two of the biggest misunderstandings surrounding these funds are:

• CEFs have higher expense ratios than passive funds, and …
• You’re better off to buy stocks, such as Microsoft (MSFT), direct, on the open market, than through CEFs.

I often get asked about crypto. My response often surprises people: I don’t spend a lot of time thinking about it.

That might sound odd given crypto’s massive popularity (though many holders are no doubt regretting their buys these days, given the swan dive Bitcoin and its ilk have been on).

Nope, I avoid Bitcoin because I (and readers of my are interested in dividend income. And you won’t find any of that in crypto. Plus it’s far more volatile than we’d like. All of this is why, when we want tech exposure, we look to CEFs holding top-quality tech stocks.… Read more