Articles

The Best Muni Bonds for 2023 Trade at 14% Discounts

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 12, 2023

As we head towards the most telegraphed recession in recent memory, US Treasuries are receiving a lot of attention. And rightfully so.

In recessions, interest rates go down. This boosts bond prices (which trade opposite rates).

But not all bonds are created equal—especially during recessions. Slowdowns tend to make the safest bonds the most attractive.

After all, it can be a slippery slope from slowdown to meltdown, so many investors prefer the safety of Treasuries. In 2008, for example, the S&P 500 sank 38% but US Treasuries rallied sharply. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) delivered a 28% gain for the year:

In 2008, T-Bonds Did Great 

I don’t think we’re in for a repeat of ’08, but this “buy Treasuries before a recession” trade has worked superbly since we called it in November.… Read more

Repel a Recession With 25%-56% Dividend Growth

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 11, 2023

Worried the economy is teetering on the brink? I don’t blame you.

Rather than running for the hills, let’s focus on recession-resistant dividend stocks. Big payout growers. We’re talking 25% to 56% dividend growth (yes, that’s no typo).

The safest dividend is the one growing the fastest. Take UnitedHealth Group (UNH), the largest health insurance carrier in the US. Its business is beautifully recession resistant. As a result, UNH is one of the most consistent growth stocks out there. Mark it down for 10%+ gains, per year, every year.

Gains in what? Every metric that matters. UNH’s sales soared 13% year-over-year.… Read more

Don’t Let This “Fake News” Keep You From Safe 8%+ Dividends

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: April 10, 2023

With yields north of 7%, closed-end funds (CEFs) should be a staple of every American’s portfolio. Especially when you consider that the vast majority of these funds pay dividends every single month.

But the truth is, CEFs remain a niche product—only folks have taken the time to try them out realize what incredible income generators they are. (This is why I started my CEF Insider service: to bust the myths around CEFs and give members a selection of diversified funds they can use to build a retirement-changing income stream.)

Why are CEFs still off most people’s radar? Mainly due to the financial press and financial advisors, both of which have preached for decades that any yield of 7%, 9%, 10% or higher is unsustainable.… Read more

A 2-Step Plan for Dividends That Double (Then Double Again!)

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 7, 2023

We’re all about the dividends here at Contrarian Outlook. Often we take it for granted that we’re not looking to lose 17% in just a few weeks while we collect income!

BAC Reaches (and Reaches!) for a Bottom …

The share-price chart for Bank of America (BAC) may appeal to dividend dumpster divers. And heck, it may work, as BAC stands to gain as more people pull their savings from regional banks and plunk them into “too big to fail.”

Why deal with this nonsense? This is exactly why we’re fading “cardiac” price charts like BAC’s and shifting toward the smooth and steady growth of dividends:

… While We Climb the “Dividend Staircase”

That’s more like it!… Read more

How to Play (Overdone) Real Estate Worries for 8.1% Dividends

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: April 6, 2023

Here at Contrarian Outlook, we love to get questions from readers, and I recently got one from a CEF Insider member about commercial real estate, after Bank of America (BAC) recently said the sector could be the next one to tumble.

Let’s dive into that, because this fear has been driven by the same kind of overwrought media coverage we saw with regional banks (an issue that’s been addressed, by the way, with no depositors or taxpayers losing money).

And that fiasco, you no doubt know, gave us a nice “buy the dip” opportunity on, well, pretty well everything.

The media has set up these commercial real estate worries, too, and that’s highlighting the value of an 8.1%-paying closed-end fund (CEF) holding real estate investment trusts (REITs) we’ll talk about below (not to mention the five REIT CEFs in our CEF Insider portfolio).… Read more

Jay Powell’s Hands Are Tied – This 9.6% Dividend Directly Benefits

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 5, 2023

Looking to profit from oil-powered dividends? Look no further than this discounted payer dishing 9.6%.

Oil prices had plunged in recent months on recession fears. However, there’s still no recession. Oops. One point for the energy bulls.

Meanwhile, OPEC said enough “cheap” oil. On Sunday the cartel announced production cuts. Oil prices popped.

Will OPEC’s move prompt the Federal Reserve to raise rates even higher to cool demand for oil? I don’t think so because the Fed has a problem. It broke the banks! Higher rates could do more damage.

High oil is painful, but a banking crisis is worse.… Read more

The Best “Preferred” 8%+ Dividends: Ours for 93 Cents on the Dollar

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: April 4, 2023

I hate to see folks trying to time this banking mess with regular stocks like JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). Especially when they can easily swap their big-bank stocks for “preferred” dividends yielding 8% and up!

That’s a far sight better than the magic trick mainstream investors are attempting, as they try to dodge into big banks like JPM at just the right moment.

JPM Looks for a Bottom

Worse, JPM only yields 3% today. And you and I both know that markets can thrash around for weeks looking for a bottom.

That’s why, instead of squinting at price charts, we’re calmly picking up some sweet “backdoor” dividends from these very same banks, but with a yield that’s 173% bigger.Read more

Here’s Our 3-Step CEF “Strategy Guide” for Safe 10.4% Dividends

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: April 3, 2023

Let’s be honest: despite today’s high interest rates, it’s still an income desert out there.

The 10-year Treasury yields 3.6%. That’s all right—much better than the 1% or so it dribbled out a couple years back. But it’s still not enough to really boost our investment income.

Which is why I’m urging all investors to take a close look at closed-end funds (CEF). You might’ve heard of these income plays. The key takeaway is that they offer much bigger dividends than stocks, ETFs or Treasuries: payouts north of 8% are common with CEFs. (The three we’ll get into below pay up to 10.4%, for example.)… Read more

3 Dividends (up to 14.6%) Paid Out Each and Every Month

Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
Updated: March 31, 2023

It doesn’t get any better than monthly dividends. Getting paid every 30 days aligns nicely with our monthly bill schedule.

Today we’ll discuss three monthly dividend stocks yielding 5.4% to 14.6% per year. Yes, that’s right, 14.6% per year!

Worth it? We’ll discuss that shortly. First, an ode to the monthly payment.

Below I’d like to invite you to choose your own retirement adventure. These are the same dividend payments except the top set is paid only quarterly.

The bottom, meanwhile, is paid monthly.

Same total payments but a much smoother retirement ride with the monthlies.

Where do we find monthly dividend payers?… Read more

This 8%-Payer Crushes ETFs (and We Get to Buy for 84 Cents on the Dollar)

Michael Foster, Investment Strategist
Updated: March 30, 2023

On the surface, investing through an index fund sounds great. It’s simple, cheap and, as you’ve likely heard over and over, few active managers beat their benchmarks anyway.

But we closed-end fund (CEF) investors know better. Truth is, there are lots of CEFs out there that beat their benchmarks while throwing off healthy dividends north of 8%.

And when you step beyond the world of stocks, into areas like corporate bonds, REITs and municipal bonds, benchmark-beaters are the norm with CEFs. That’s because those markets, which are much smaller than the stock market, give a savvy manager lots of advantages—like a well-stacked contact book—that a “robotic” index fund just can’t match.… Read more