The Summer Rate Hike’s Off: Here’s What to Buy Now
Brett Owens, Chief Investment StrategistUpdated: June 13, 2016
It’s a done deal: an interest rate hike this month or next—a prospect that was already slim—is officially off the table.
The final straw? A dismal labor report showing just 38,000 jobs created in May, the fewest in six years. But that’s not the only thing that killed the June hike. Tack on inflation well below the Fed’s 2% target and an economy growing at a modest 2% clip, and there’s simply no reason to raise rates now.
Futures markets agree, with traders calling for just a 4% chance of a June hike and only 1-in-4 odds in July. You have to go way out to December before a significant likelihood materializes (43% for a quarter-point, 19% for a half-point).… Read more